--- layout: default permalink: /research.html title: Research - Data Analysis & Tribunal Decision Database description: Evidence-based research, guides, knowledge bases and templates for injured workers, veterans, seniors, caregivers, persons with disabilities, and the human-rights / UNCRPD / legal communities β€” built from real tribunal decision data. ---
πŸŽ‰ v3.0 Complete: 85.1% Ontario Classification

We Analyzed 230,392 Records.
Here's What It Means for You.

People win appeals when they understand what's required and have the right evidence. Recurring denial patterns and language appear across cases. We turned four years of tribunal data into tools you can use right now β€” for injured workers, persons with disabilities, and anyone navigating these systems. Ontario v3.0 complete May 15, 2026: 50,161 cases, 85.1% classified.

I Need Help Now Explore the Data

πŸ’‘ How these numbers relate: The corpus holds 230,392 records β€” split into 127,600 Ontario tribunal decisions and 102,792 employer/workplace records (raw, pre-dedupe; verified extraction manifest). The 127,600 breaks down as: WSIAT 98,992 Β· HRTO 9,269 Β· ONSBT 13,798 Β· ONWSIB 463 Β· ONCA 5,034 (extraction-manifest counts). Two scope notes so the numbers can't be mis-added: (1) WSIAT 98,992 is the count this total is built on; the re-verified WSIAT Open Data count is 98,992 (2026-04-29 parse) and 96,025 live (2026-10-07). (2) HRTO 9,269 are decisions individually classified (2020–2026); HRTO's full application corpus is 62,093 (INFERRED aggregate, 2016–2025) β€” a different scope, not part of this 127,600 sum. Separately, our v3.0 classification pass has tagged 50,161 cases by issue type (85.1% of that tagging complete) β€” the portion powering the guides and tools today; classification is ongoing.

πŸ†˜ I Need Help Tools, templates & step-by-step help for injured workers, veterans, seniors & people with disabilities. πŸ”Ž Explore the Research Guides, knowledge bases, and templates for your situation β€” by community. πŸ“Š Explore the Data Interactive visualizations and findings drawn from the corpus. πŸ§ͺ Methodology & Sources How the data was collected, what we can prove, and limitations.

Data Transparency: Proven data clearly labelled | Inferred patterns disclosed upfront | Win rates are estimated from classified decisions only (91.8% of WSIAT decisions lack clear outcome metadata) | All code and data open source See full methodology

πŸ“‹ Accuracy Audit β€” 2026-07-20 (post laptop-failure recovery): Figures on this page were reviewed against the recovered Ontario scrape. The headline 230,392 = 127,600 tribunal decisions + 102,792 employer records (raw, pre-dedupe; the Ontario tribunal figure is itself the sum of WSIAT 98,992 + HRTO 9,269 + ONSBT 13,798 + ONWSIB 463 + ONCA 5,034). Outcome classification covers only ~12–15% of tribunal decisions (CanLII API lacks structured outcome labels β€” outcomes are keyword-inferred). BC WCAT collection was recovered and committed (7,386 decisions, 2020–2026) β€” verifiable; outcomes remain keyword-inferred. Cross-post success-rate figures should be treated as exploratory, not definitive. Per-tribunal counts: WSIAT 98,992 (re-verified Open Data) Β· HRTO 62,093 applications (INFERRED aggregate, 2016–2025; distinct from the 9,269 HRTO decisions classified in the 127,600 sum) Β· ONSBT 13,798 Β· ONCA 5,034.

πŸ†˜ I Need Help

Start Here If You Need Help

Injured, denied, or helping someone who is? Go straight to the tools. Skip the data.

I Got Denied - I Need to Appeal

You need a strategy now. Start with the guide built from 98,992 WSIAT decisions (re-verified Open Data count).

I Want to Understand What's Happening

Identify the recurring denial patterns and language WSIB uses. Know what you're up against before you file.

Browse All Guides and Templates

Musculoskeletal, neurological, legal strategy - 24+ guides built from real cases.

Find Help for Your Situation

3mpwrapp serves everyone navigating these systems β€” not just injured workers. Pick your situation and go straight to the tools.

Indigenous Communities

Health access (NIHB), disability rights, cultural protocols, language support, and land acknowledgment resources.

Injured Worker (WSIB / WSIAT)

Appeal a denial, gather evidence, win.

Veteran (VAC / VRAB)

Disability benefits & appeals through Veterans Affairs.

Senior (OAS / GIS)

Retirement & income-security benefits.

Person with a Disability

Federal & provincial disability benefits.

Caregiver / Family

Benefits & supports for those caring for others.

Human Rights / UNCRPD

Discrimination & rights-tribunal claims.

Public Ally / Advocate

Share resources, support someone, or learn the systems.

πŸ”Ž Explore the Research

🏘️ Communities We Serve

3mpwrapp is built for everyone navigating these systems. The guides, knowledge bases, and templates below are grouped by community so you can find what applies to you.

Browse all guides β†’ Β· Browse all knowledge bases β†’ Β· Browse all templates β†’

πŸ”„ CanLII decision-data scraping β€” resuming soon: British Columbia workers' compensation (WCAT) 2020–2026 is already collected (7,386 decisions, via the free CanLII API). Next: complete the rest of BC (Human Rights Tribunal, Information & Privacy), then expand across Canada β€” AB, QC, MB, SK, Atlantic, and the Territories β€” plus the ON Landlord & Tenant Board (poverty / housing). All collection uses the free CanLII API with a 15-second rate limit. See Data Sources & Methodology for how scraped data becomes the figures you see.

πŸ”­ Research Pipeline β€” See All Angles

Every guide, knowledge base, and template on this site traces back to evidence. Here is the full chain — from where signal enters, to how it becomes something you can use. No black boxes.

πŸŒ€ 3mpwrapp Flywheels — Evidence in Action

A public view of the evidence ledger in motion: 969 cards and counting, routed by community, jurisdiction, and flywheel. This is the engine behind the resources above.

Open the live flywheel visual →

Where the evidence comes from

πŸ“± Reddit Daily Digest

Community posts from injured workers, veterans, caregivers and disability forums — filtered for relevance, then routed to the evidence ledger.

🐦 X (Twitter)

Real-time signal from advocates, legal accounts, and workers — captured daily and de-duplicated into the same ledger.

βš–οΈ Themis — Justice Watch

Legal & legislative monitoring: Bill 105, WSIB policy shifts, tribunal trends. Each finding becomes a verified evidence card.

πŸ“° News & Monitoring

Full-coverage news watch — every Canadian locality, all 10 provinces + 3 territories, Canada-wide, and world (no geographic exclusions) — filtered to our main user base: injured workers, the disability community, seniors/elderly, veterans, and all vulnerable communities, families, and public allies. Legislative change (e.g. the Oct 20 equal-pay provisions) reaches the guides fast.

βš–οΈ CanLII Decisions

Tribunal decision data — BC WCAT 2020–2026 already collected (7,386 decisions via the free CanLII API); expansion across Canada resuming. Powers the outcome visualizations above.

The flywheel visual above is a public, read-only window into the same evidence ledger.

Injury-Specific Knowledge Base

Evidence-based guides for specific injury types, built from real tribunal decisions:

Musculoskeletal

Neurological

Legal Strategy

Appeal Templates

Ready-to-use templates with evidence-based arguments:

Every research page on this site

Nothing published below is hidden. All 15 research pages, grouped by what they answer.

Tribunal outcome audits (2020–2026)

Accessibility and discrimination at tribunal

Employer tactics and retaliation

Legislative analysis

Tools built from this research

Legislative status changes. Confirm any bill's current status on ontariolegislature.ca before relying on these pages. None of this is legal advice.

Related Blog Posts

Contribute to the Data

This research improves when workers share their outcomes. Every case you report makes the pattern clearer for the next person.

Share Your Case Outcome β†’

πŸ“Š Explore the Data

Go Deeper Into the Data

Researchers, policy analysts, advocates with clients - the full dataset and methodology are below.

Interactive Visualizations

11 live charts. Filter, zoom, explore 230,392 records yourself.

View Charts

Raw Data Downloads

127,600 Ontario tribunal decisions + 102,792 employer records. 100% open source. No paywalls.

Download Data

Methodology and Statistical Methods

Peer-reviewable methods. Confidence intervals. Limitations disclosed.

Read Methodology
230,392
Total Records Analyzed
127,600
Tribunal Decisions
102,792
Employer Safety Records
6+ Years
Data Coverage

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Workers' Compensation Across Canada

3mpwrapp's jurisdiction data spans all 13 provinces and territories plus federal coverage. Wherever you are in Canada, a workers' compensation system applies to you.

Indigenous workers: First Nations, Inuit, and MΓ©tis workers are served by the provincial, territorial, or federal board for the jurisdiction where they work. Additional federal and Indigenous-specific pathways may apply β€” see the Indigenous health & disability research for community-informed detail. 3mpwrapp respects Indigenous data sovereignty and does not infer or republish sensitive Indigenous knowledge without authorization.

Interactive Data Visualizations

WSIAT Outcome Timeline (2020-2026)

98,992 Decisions

Monthly decision volumes and outcome patterns over 6 years. Identify seasonal trends, policy changes, and anomalies.

View Interactive Chart β†’

HRTO Outcome Timeline (2020-2026)

9,269 Decisions

Human Rights Tribunal outcomes by month — 9,269 decisions. Track discrimination patterns and case resolution trends.

View Interactive Chart →

ONWSIB Outcome Timeline (2020-2026)

463 Decisions

WSIB Board outcomes by month — the employer and insurer side of the same claims that appear in the WSIAT timelines. Shows which appeals end at the Board stage rather than escalating to a hearing.

View Interactive Chart →

ONCA Outcome Timeline (2020-2026)

5,034 Decisions

Court of Appeal for Ontario outcomes by month. The top of the chain, after WSIAT and WSIB. Relevant when a decision is being appealed further and you need to know what has historically succeeded at that level.

View Interactive Chart →

ONSBT Outcome Timeline (2020-2026)

13,798 Decisions

Social assistance appeals by month — the tribunal for ODSP denials, distinct from WSIAT and WSIB. Pairs with the ONSBT guide.

View Interactive Chart →

Tribunal Decision Heatmap

Issue Categories

Where decisions concentrate across issue categories — which claim types generate the volume, and which are decided fastest or slowest.

View Interactive Chart →

Injury Industry Matrix

Injury Γ— Industry

Cross-references injury type against industry. Shows which sectors generate which claim patterns — useful for narrowing an industry-specific argument.

View Interactive Chart →

Temporal Evolution

Defence Shifts

Tracks how employer denial language and defence strategies evolved across the period analysed.

View Interactive Chart →

Cross-Tribunal Comparison

5 Tribunals

Compare decision patterns across WSIAT, HRTO, ONSBT, ONWSIB, and ONCA. Identify systemic differences.

View Interactive Chart β†’

Employer Safety Heatmap

102,792 Records

Workplace injury rates by industry and region. Interactive map shows which employers have highest injury rates.

View Interactive Map β†’

Keyword Network Analysis

13,000+ Keywords

Discover how recurring denial patterns cluster together. Interactive network shows which keywords predict denial.

View Network Graph β†’

πŸ§ͺ Methodology & Sources

Research Standards and Methodology

What We Can PROVE:

Statistical Methods Used:

Data Transparency:

Limitations We Acknowledge:

Full methodology available in blog posts - See Related Blog Posts section below